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- <text id=93TT0637>
- <title>
- Nov. 22, 1993: Testing The Waters
- </title>
- <history>
- TIME--The Weekly Newsmagazine--1993
- Nov. 22, 1993 Where is The Great American Job?
- </history>
- <article>
- <source>Time Magazine</source>
- <hdr>
- TRADE, Page 39
- Testing The Waters
- </hdr>
- <body>
- <p>Increased U.S. trade with the Pacific Rim is Clinton's next
- goal
- </p>
- <p>By Richard Lacayo--Reported by Edward W. Desmond/Tokyo and Adam Zagorin/Washington
- </p>
- <p> John Hay, Theodore Roosevelt's Secretary of State, once called
- the Pacific the "ocean of the future." Bill Clinton hopes the
- future starts this week. Just two days after Congress votes
- up or down on NAFTA, the President plans to meet in Seattle
- with leaders from 14 other Pacific Rim nations. With an expanding
- middle class and huge construction projects ranging from airports
- to mass-transit systems, the booming region should be in a spending
- mood for years to come. The Seattle gathering is a significant
- step in White House efforts to widen the pipeline for American
- exports to Asia, which is already the fastest-growing destination
- of U.S products and services.
- </p>
- <p> This week's summit is actually a meeting of the Asia-Pacific
- Economic Cooperation forum, a four-year-old association of 11
- Asian nations and the U.S., Canada, Australia and New Zealand.
- At this point, it amounts to little more than a trade-issues
- study group. Though Washington has avoided taking any position
- on the matter for now, the U.S. might eventually prefer to see
- APEC become a mechanism to bind Pacific Rim nations into a NAFTA-style
- trade family, especially in the face of sentiment building among
- some Asian nations in favor of regional trade arrangements that
- exclude the U.S. "The U.S. has at long last started to look
- seriously at its trade interests in the Pacific," says Kwon
- Byong Hyon, South Korea's Assistant Foreign Minister for Policy
- Planning.
- </p>
- <p> Washington's flirtation with Asia is also designed to make Europe
- jealous. U.S. trade across the Pacific is already 50% greater
- than its transatlantic counterpart, a sizable change from 1980,
- when the figures were about equal. The European Community knows
- that APEC could provide the U.S. with a consortium to fall back
- on in the event of a breakdown in current negotiations over
- the 111-nation General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade, which
- aims to reduce trade barriers throughout the world. As a Dec.
- 15 deadline approaches, those talks have bogged down on several
- issues, especially the European Community's insistence on renegotiating
- an agriculture accord that is a sticking point for France in
- particular. Writing in the Financial Times, U.S. Trade Representative
- Mickey Kantor recently warned that if Europe balks, "U.S. trade
- will continue to expand with Asia and Latin America, and Europe
- will be left out."
- </p>
- <p> Should Washington ever try to push APEC toward becoming an Asian
- NAFTA, the task will not be easy. Less developed Pacific nations
- are averse to any trade pact that might compel them to lower
- tariffs protecting fledgling industries. If Clinton shows up
- in Seattle without a win on NAFTA, Asian nations will also be
- under less pressure to deal; one reason for them even to consider
- a Pacific Rim trade group is to ensure themselves a defensive
- base in the event that GATT should fail or NAFTA take a protectionist
- turn. Thus the White House has been playing down this week's
- gathering as merely a gesture in favor of more regional cooperation.
- "The meeting is the message," says Robert Rubin, director of
- the National Economic Council. In trade matters, it seems, complexity
- is a commodity that's always in surplus.
- </p>
-
- </body>
- </article>
- </text>
-
-